CareerXroads®Update - February 2009 - Like snowflakes, every layoff is different

By Gerry Crispin, SPHR and Mark Mehler
mmc@careerxroads.com

Since 1996 our Update has been published 10-12 times each year and aims to share commentary, observations, perspectives and data we come across during our staffing adventures. We hope you continue to enjoy it and pass it on to friends. All are invited to register for the Update for free. Coupled with our Bellwether, a provocative monthly look at trends we share with CareerXroads Colloquium members, we are always willing to challenge the accepted wisdom or poke a little fun at the staffing industry and ourselves in the process.
We invite you to keep in touch and join us during the year at the various conferences where we speak or simply attend.

It is Monday Morning: Do you know where your next hire is -- and the next -- and the next after that?

We're analyzing data and writing a whitepaper on hundreds of thousands of openings representing this past year's Sources of Hire from dozens of companies. This will be our 8th SOH study.

We expect this annual report will be posted for downloading by mid-February and we will send a link in next month's Update (it is free - we never sell our research). Several webinars and presentations are scheduled and at least one or two articles are in the works for the first quarter.

Over the years our whitepapers on Sources of Hire (which can be found in the News/Articles section of the CareerXroads website) have been more of a critique of how firms collect data than a confirmation of the importance of one method of hire versus another. However, we've noted in the past the gradual rise of direct sourcing, the silly notion of having your website as a source, the initial rise of hires from social media and the critical value of having an employee refer you (as much as 70 times more effective from the jobseekers point of view than any other approach). We expect to see some changes and improvements and will enjoy the next few weeks of number crunching.

Even The Ivy League Colleges are Hunkering Down.

Harvard MBAs returning from their holiday were greeted January 13 with an email from Jana P. Kierstead, Managing Director, MBA Career Services who stated right off the bat that "postings in the Job Bank are down 24%." We're sure this factoid doesn't portend anything dire. We can't imagine any of the June crop of grads from Harvard's Business School will go hungry. Most likely it simply means fewer alternatives. But that isn't true everywhere else.

We are beginning to hear about significant numbers of offers being recalled from undergrads in less prestigious institutions of higher learning. This could become an issue and we would encourage firms considering similar actions to think twice. Reneging on young professionals at the very beginning of their careers in the "Age of Facebook" is sure to have lasting consequences. If you must do it, think about investing enough to create a much more positive experience:

  • Use a phone call not an email.
  • Counsel with Career Services first.
  • Offer severance.
  • Consider outplacement support.
  • Build a self-help ning.com network for those affected and get employee volunteers to support it and help develop leads.
  • Consider graduate school grants (we heard one firm was considering this).
  • Consider int'l. travel grants.
  • [Your innovative option here]

Back to Harvard. We were amazed at the level of career management initiatives the Business school invests in. They include:

  • a Career Coach assigned to each student,
  • Job Search Teams: 7-9 students plus 1 coach collaborating with one another to achieve their employment goals,
  • several Career Services portals,
  • a series of industry-specific networking strategy programs called Beyond the Job Bank that focus on issues like networking best-practices, and
  • Directors' Notes, an effort by the Career Services staff to be more transparent with their knowledge and thoughts in light of the economic situation.

Kudos to Harvard. We expect they aren't alone but clearly are changing the playing field.

Staffing's Carbon Footprint=1.25 tons of CO2 emissions per hire and why you should care.

What does green recruiting mean to you, your staffing function, your firm? It is likely to be something you'll hear a lot more about in the coming months. But, too few leaders see it as a critical issue today.

Why do we think this issue will move to the front burner sooner rather than later? Money, of course. The environment, at least over the next four years, is a national priority for political funding and the color of that money is definitely green and flowing toward sustainability projects.

A webinar presented by Kennedy this month, presented by Gerry and Liz Pellet, a national branding expert with Emerg International, is just one of many you might expect to see in the future as literally everyone jumps on the bandwagon in 2009. The central question is how the notions of sustainability will impact recruiting and why you should bother now.

John Sullivan's article in HR Executive Online magazine, Steps to Implement Green Recruiting rightly points out: "If you can't show that a large number of quality applicants consider a firm's environmental record as one of their primary criteria for selecting a job, you'll never get senior management to buy into a major green recruiting effort." We suggest that you are already losing (or gaining) candidates in part due to changing values about the environment. Here are three thoughts you might consider:

First, review and honestly describe how your firm currently views their responsibility to a sustainable future. Is it:

  • a philanthropic initiative,
  • a measured effort to reduce their carbon footprint (i.e recycling),
  • an investment in transforming their own products and services to meet sustainable goals,
  • an investment in "offsets" where sustainability cannot be achieved and,
  • a core to the firm's future success in attracting customers.

Whether one, or more of the above, your answer will help define how your recruiting needs might best align to your firm's "green" vision and there are no lack of challenges in making sure the messages and actions are consistent, transparent, and that the recruiting function itself is walking the talk wherever you start.

Next, assess whether your ability to hire the best and brightest is going to be dependent on an EVP that connects to your firm's impact on the environment or not. It also wouldn't hurt consider the extent that recruiting and HR are willing to influence 'up'. You might not be ready to fall on the sword just yet.

We worked for some time on a definition for Green Recruiting and this is as comprehensive a statement as we can offer: Employers and Staffing leaders committed to "Green Recruiting" recognize, accept and embrace their firms' accountability to social responsibility, community involvement, environmental stewardship and sustainability. They assess their results at all levels of their respective organizations and they especially recognize that their firms' future performance is dependent upon sharing their vision and actions with stockholders, employees and candidates in order to attract, engage and influence the most talented candidates to come and stay.

Finally, beyond your firm's commitment to sustainability (and purely as an aside), have you thought about actually calculating your staffing function's "Carbon footprint" (i.e. the tonnage of CO2 annually released by the direct activities of recruiters, hiring managers and job seekers in the employment process)? With www.carbonfoot print.com, a UK based calculator that converts your actions, personal and business, into tonnage of CO2 emissions, it is a relatively easy exercise. Using the site (and lots of assumptions), we calculated that a recruiting function in a modest-sized (1000 employee) non-green-conscious firm that hired a mix of 240 applicants would generate 320 Tons of Carbon CO2 emissions or about 1.25 tons/hire.

What would the impact be of reducing the average # of times a candidate interviews, the number of candidates you see for every position, even the cars your out-of-town applicants are driving (or being driven in)? (On the frivolous side, what is the CO2 cost of advertising for candidates in a newspaper versus online? Sorry, but I'm going to have to do the calculation.)

Can a company whose "green" commitment is rising, afford a recruitment function and process that isn't?

Corporate Recruiting Leader Compensation: The good news is you made [a lot] more in 2008 than 2007...

...and now for the bad news.

John Dooney and Evren Esen from SHRM's research function, writing for an annual SHRM Supplement, HR Salaries Weaken With the Economy, reported much that was to be expected given the times we're facing but also a few unexpected items. The data is quite worth the read. It was obtained from 85,000 HR practitioners in 2000 companies in 5000 locations via a collaboration between Watson Wyatt and SHRM.

Bottom line, only positions in International HR and Recruiting Leadership show compensation as significantly up in 2008 over 2007 (and recruiting is up 17%!! - some generalist positions are showing decline of 17%!! Hmmm. Makes sense to us.) Short Term Incentives (STIs) however are down and predicted to head down even further (big mistake).

On the downside, even with the increase in 2007, the total compensation of top corporate recruiting leaders is still lower than many of their colleagues leading other HR silos (i.e. T&D, Benefits, etc.).

Corporate staffing leaders are deeply engaged around the incentives they offer prospective employees as a part of their firm's EVP. (Must be something about shoes for the cobbler's children.)

Revisiting 2008 Predictions - Recycled for 2009

A year ago we made six very tongue-in-cheek predictions for 2008. This month we revisited them and found them to be less outrageous today given all that has transpired. Here's a precis of what we claimed would happen during the last year - and some thoughts about where it will go in 2009.

#1 - SS#s Stolen, Class Action Suit Follows. "A major corporation will be hit with a class action suit by August 2008 for requiring ALL candidates to submit their social security numbers when first completing their online company application (regardless of qualifications)"

This didn't happen - yet (but legislation is likely in 2009). Whenever we meet with students, job seekers, etc., we advise them to make up a social security number rather than offer it up in response to a generic online application and to report the company to the Better Business Bureau. Most firms are still missing or have substandard employment privacy policies. They are lawsuits waiting to happen.

#2 - Closed, Online Affinity-Specific Networks explode. "Everyone joins as many different networks as they can and competition is fierce to see just how many groups one person can actually belong to. An Atlanta accountant claims the title. He belongs to more than 150 social networks."

Contrary to our predictions that public social networks were reaching their peak in 2008, Facebook still offers incredible value (now at 200 million) primarily because of its mobile and other open source applications. Linkedin is certainly holding its own. But, every corporation with any sense is re-evaluating their policies about the social network and experimenting with them as critical productivity and collaboration tools. ROI data is sketchy but as many top firms have said, "the cost of not incorporating private social networks within our corporate culture is unacceptable."

A half million private social networks are currently based on Ning's platform alone! (One of them, recruitingblogs.com, a community of 15,000 recruiters has significant traction.) Hundreds of trade organizations, college alumni associations and professional associations have launched private groups and are building them out as we speak.

#3 - Newspapers Acquired by Online Properties "the Newspaper Association of America waves the white flag of surrender for its entire industry as classifieds drop to 15% of the Conference Board's 60- year-old index monthly index (1989=100) thereby forcing a fire sale of newspapers to online search engines."

Unfortunately, we were too conservative - no one wants to buy the newspapers so they are just going bankrupt or eliminating print themselves and going directly to web publishing.

#4 - Companies "Open" Up - Somewhat "Corporate initiated transparency will increase substantially in 2008 as highly-competitive firms voluntarily publish (for all to see) - - -

  • their employee demographics: race, gender, etc.,
  • the percentage of their employees promoted and transferred in a given quarter (that's movement between divisions broken out by race, gender, etc),
  • external sources of hire for specific positions along with the numbers of hires in these positions this year and last,
  • benefits usage by employee groups,
  • compensation bands for the highest volume of openings and
  • contact information for all recruiters and affinity group leaders. "
OK, we weren't serious in 2008 and we're not about to believe that any but the most progressive firms will make inroads in 2009.

#5 - Feedback Stimulates Job Simulation Explosion "A handful of companies bolt onto their online application process in 2008 a new style of simulation that goes beyond typical one-way testing and assessment approaches."

Starbucks launched their "Job Tryout" in March for store management candidates and Microsoft's Microsites with its deep dives into aspects of specific job families are two of maybe a dozen efforts coming to fruition that we believe will eventually change the game.

#6 - [Jobseeker] Information Tools to Make Companies Really Transparent Suddenly Appear "a suite of online services that helps them [jobseekers] identify 50-100 target companies and then build a private database on each firm to include:

  • information on types of jobs the job seeker might apply to,
  • where each job fits into the organization,
  • names and contact information on each of the hiring managers,
  • hiring manager bio data,
  • names of recruiters who are responsible for supporting them,
  • people likely known by the hiring manager and degrees of separation from a potential employee referral."

Not all in one place - but sooner or later - - -

Copyright MMC Group © 1996-2009 all rights reserved.

CareerXroads
The Staffing Strategy Connection
By Gerry Crispin and Mark Mehler
mmc@careerxroads.com
- 732-821-6652